![]() Regional Historical Oddsīelow we break down various white Christmas statistics, including the yearly probability, the number of white Christmases in each city's historical record and the last white Christmas. Since 2003, those percentages have varied widely from year to year, from 21% in 2003 to a whopping 63% of the contiguous U.S. On average, about 38% of the Lower 48 has snow on the ground on Christmas, according to 18 years of data compiled by the NOHRSC. That year, snow covered the northern tier as expected and reached into portions of the central Plains, Midwest and Northeast. had snow on the ground Christmas morning. The last three years were much less than 2017, when almost half of the U.S. There isn't much territory outside the Mountain West, the far northern tier and northern New England where odds of a white Christmas are greater than 50%. The chances are based on averages from 1991 to 2020. The map below shows the locations with a historical chance of a white Christmas in any given year. Lower chances for a white Christmas exist from portions of the Northern Plains into the upper Midwest, as well as in portions of the interior Northeast. Our white Christmas outlook has the best chance for at least a 1-inch blanket of snow on the ground in the Mountain West and from Montana into northern Michigan, as well as parts of upstate New York into northern New England. It doesn't have to be snowing on the holiday for that to happen. In meteorology, a white Christmas occurs when there is at least 1 inch of snow on the ground on Christmas morning. This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, IBM.Christmas is almost here and we're getting a clearer picture of where snow may blanket the ground this year. The Weather Company’s primary journalistic mission is to report on breaking weather news, the environment and the importance of science to our lives. Jacksonville, Florida, missed a white Christmas by a day when an inch of snow fell Christmas Eve morning. In 1989, a pre-Christmas snowfall was followed by a strong arctic cold outbreak that brought both Charleston, South Carolina (4 inches), and Savannah, Georgia (2 inches), their only white Christmases. Brownsville is on the same latitude as Miami, Florida. In 2004 in Texas, Corpus Christi had a record snowstorm (4.4 inches), and Brownsville (1.5 inches) had its first day of measurable snow since 1895. In 2009, Oklahoma City had a snowstorm of record (13.5 inches) and one of only two white Christmases on record occurred in Dallas (2 inches). Three relatively recent events brought an unusual Christmas Day snow cover to parts of the South: Last Christmas, Albany and Syracuse had an inch of snow on the ground Christmas morning, making it an official white Christmas. New York City has seen up to 8 inches on the ground on Christmas (in 1912), and 7 inches is the top Christmas snow depth in Washington D.C. The most snow on the ground in Albany (1966) and Buffalo, New York (2001), on Christmas morning, was 19 inches. The annual probability is based on data from the National Weather Service from 1991-2020. On average, about 37% of the Lower 48 has snow on the ground on Christmas, according to 19 years of data compiled by the NOHRSC. That year, snow covered the northern tier as expected and reached portions of the Central Plains, Midwest and Northeast. had snow on the ground on Christmas morning in 2017. Winter Storm Elliott has brought snow to many of these areas over the last couple of days and any snow that falls this week will not melt before Christmas due to the cold blast associated with the storm.Īlmost half of the U.S. However, areas from the southern Appalachians into the Ohio Valley and Central Plains could also see a white Christmas. The best chances for an inch of snow blanketing the ground on Christmas morning is in the higher elevations of the West and from the Northern Plains and Midwest into the eastern Great Lakes and portions of the interior Northeast. Winter Storm Elliott along with arctic cold will likely bring a white Christmas to areas that haven't seen one over the past couple of years. Sign up for the Morning Brief email newsletter to get weekday updates from The Weather Channel and our meteorologists.Ĭhristmas is getting closer and hopes of snow blanketing the landscape for the holiday are growing.
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